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Today's
Stories
August
4 / 5, 2007
Alan
Farago
The Candidates and the Collapsing
Economy
August
3, 2007
Gabriel
Matthew Schivone
An Interview with Noam Chomsky on
Responsibility, War Guilt and Intellectuals
Jonathan
Cook
Israel's Jewish Problem in Tehran
Patrick
Cockburn
Sunnis Walk Out of Iraq Government
Little
Steven Van Zandt
Die, Greedy Swine! Die! Die!:
How the Record Companies are Killing Rock Music
Christopher
Brauchli
Bush Makes Putin Look Like James
Madison
D.
K. Wilson
Two Sides and a Middle: Michael Vick
Ain't the One to Ask
Linda
Ford and Ira Glunts
Maxwell's Silver Hammer: Syracuse University
Enlists in the Global War on Terror
Kelly
Overton
The Casualties of Green Scare: the
Feds' War on the Animal Rights Mvt.
Monica
Benderman
In Freedom's Name
Manuel
Garcia, Jr.
Minneapolis Bridge Collapse: Was Cheney
at the Scene?
Website
of the Day
A
Cinematic Look at the Police State in Action
August 2, 2007
Paul
Craig Roberts
The Return of the Robber Barons
Stanley Heller
Report from the Land of Apartheid
Eric
Ruder
Fighting PTSD; Fighting the Army
Robert
Fantina
Still Getting It Wrong: the NYT and
Iraq
Alan
Farago
The Toxic Mortgage Waste Crisis
Chris
Floyd
Chertoff, Chiquita and Death Squads
Franklin
Lamb
Lebanon's Crucial Special Elections
Sen.
Russ Feingold
Closing the Book on the Abramoff
Era
Anthony
Papa
Drug Treatment isn't a Silver Bullet
Norman
Solomon
The Big Guns of August
Website
of the Day
Louie, Louie Video Contest
August 1, 2007
Debbie Nathan
More Secret Payments by Former NYT
Reporter to Web Porn Star Surface in Nashville Courtroom
Fred Gardner
Ciao, Michelangelo
Gary
Leupp
Why Iraq's Best-Loved Athlete Can't
Go Home
David
Rosen
America's Top 10 Political Sex Scandals
Winston
Warfield
Is the Tillman Case Still a Coverup?
Daniel
McBride
Lessons from Bomber Harris: If the
US Strikes Pakistan
Glen
Ford
The Corporate Plan to Crush Black Resistance
Thomas
P. Healy
The Toxic Career of Indiana's Environmental
Commissioner
John
V. Whitbeck
The Five Percent Solution
David
Krieger
Nuclear Weapons and the University
of California
Website
of the Day
The Tragic Story of Hisham
Mohammed
July 31, 2007
Kathy
Kelly
Dancing in the Darkness: the Story
of Abu Mahmoud
Clancy Sigal
The Ghosts of Passchendaele
Paul Krassner
Assholes of the Week: From Baby
Doll to Cheney
Joe
DeRaymond
Return to the Republic of Death?
Diane
Christian
"Winning": What Bush
Could Learn from the Shade of Achilles
Chris
Floyd
Good News is No News: Why the Bush
Adm. Buries Accounts of Extremist Recantations
Ramzy
Baroud
Bush's Real Agenda in Palestine
Alan
Farago
Battle for the Soul of Florida
Fidel
Castro
In Spite of Everything: Reflections
on the Pan American Games
Dan
Bacher
The Fish Terminator: Schwarzenegger's
Campaign to Build the Delta Canal and More Dams
July 30, 2007
Marjorie Cohn: Independent Counsel
Time
Patrick Cockburn
Four Million Iraqis on the Run
Peter Quinn
Irish in America
Uri Avnery
A Warning to Tony Blair
John Ross
Zapatista Intergalatica Lands on Earth
Ron
Jacobs
Free the San Francisco 8
David
Vest
Farewell,
Old Friend: Another Legend of the Blues is Gone
Jeffrey
St. Clair
T99 Nelson: Seduced by a Legend of the
Blues
Website
of the Day
Collateral Repair
Project
July
28 / 29, 2007
Alexander
Cockburn
Now the NYT is Selling "Bloodbath"
as a Rationale to Stay in Iraq
Ralph
Nader
Rotten Justice
Robert
Fantina
American Lies and Iraqi Nationalism
Fred
Gardner
Prohibitionists Attack, Reformers
Fundraise
Yves
Engler
Handwashing and the Bottomline
July
27, 2007
John
Ross
Bombing Pemex--or Not?
Arthur
Neslen
Gaza was a Gas for Blair
Dave
Lindorff
Declaring the US a Battlefield: Martial Law is Now a Real
Threat
Julene
Blair
The Environmentalist Within
Christopher
Brauchli
Bush Uses Children as Shock Troops in His War on Socialized Medicine
Jesse
Hagopian
Fund the Wounded, Not the War
Charles
Modiano
Manufacturing a Villain: Sports Illustrated's Vilification of
Barry Bonds
Bill
Day
The Hollow Environmentalism of Leonardo DiCaprio
Walter
Brasch
Leaders Afraid to Lead
M.D.
Mitchell
Farm Based Camps
Website
of the Day
Fighting Sarcoma
July
26, 2007
Kathleen
Christison
The Siren Song of Elliot Abrams
Andy
Worthington
Why the Pentagon's Gitmo Study is a Joke
Clancy
Chassay
How the Bush White House Seeks to Destroy Lebanon
Marjorie
Cohn
Showdown Over Executive Privilege
Susie
Day
Apartheid Americana
David
Price
Tour de Witch Hunt: Drugs, Diaries and Purges
Marie
Trigona
Argentina's "Dirty War" Crimes Trial: The Torturer
Priest
Norman
Solomon
Media Spin on Iraq: We're Leaving (Sort Of)
William
S. Lind
How to Win in Iraq
Natsu
Saito
Ward Churchill and the Regents at the University of Colorado
John
Stauber
Netroots and the Iraq War: Does Ending It Matter to Them Anymore?
Website
of the Day
Sticking It to the Man
July
25, 2007
Andy
Worthington
Gains and Losses at Gitmo
Gary
Leupp
Bush Speechwriter, Michael Gerson, Calls for Attack on Syria
Ray
McGovern
The Sad Decline of John Conyers
Dr.
Susan Block
Bonobo Bashing in the New Yorker
Joshua
Frank
Hillary's Neocon: the Imperial Vision of Richard Holbrooke
Tina
Richards
What Harry Reid Doesn't Know About His Own Bill
Ben
Terrall
Indonesia's Bloody Brand of CounterTerrorism
Farzana
Versey
God Acquitted!: Lessons from the Case of Darwood Ibrahim
Mohammad
Ali Salih
A Bomb in My Briefcase?
Laura
Carlsen
A Strange Homecoming: Reflections on the First US Social Forum
Ron
Jacobs
Come to Kennebunkport!
Sunsara
Taylor
Knocked Up is F**ked Up
Website
of the Day
Wal-Mart's Flip Flops: Feet Killers
July 24, 2007
Saul
Landau
How to Walk in Bushtime
Kathy
Kelly
The Plight of Iraqi Refugees in Jordan
Russell
Mokhiber
The Michael Vick / George Bush Thing
M.
Shahid Alam
Islam Now, China Then
Patrick
Cockburn and Anne Penketh
Meeting in Baghdad
Dave
Lindorff
Overcoming John Conyers
Binoy
Kampmark
You Tube You Can't: Failure of a Medium
Richard
Neville
Murdoch's Transplant: a Warning to the Wall Street Journal
Cindy
Sheehan
We Must Move Beyond Politics as Usual
Evelyn
Pringle
Anti-Depressants and Birth Defects: Why is the CDC Downplaying
the Risks?
Norman
Solomon
Media Corrections We'd Like to See
CP
Newswire
Reading Harry Potter Not Sinful
Website
of the Day
Sea Islands Black Heritage Festival
July
23, 2007
Andy
Worthington
Narcolepsy on Gitmo Detainees
Uri
Avnery
A Trap for Fools
Patrick
Cockburn
Turkish Prime Minister Threatens to Invade Northern Iraq
Sousan
Hammad
The Children Without a Title
John
Walsh
Todd Gitlin's Nader Fixation
Harvey
Wasserman
Spinning Kashiwazaki: PR Flacks Rush to Aid of Crippled Nuke
Martha
Rosenberg
The Life and Times of a Hog-Hanging Farmer
Collin Baber
Here
Come the MRAPs: Resurrecting Apartheid Armor for Iraq
Reza
Fiyouzat
Iran's Forgotten Anti-Nuke Movement
Stephen
Lendman
Saving a President: Scare-Mongering and Executive Orders
Website
of the Day
The Port Huron Project
July
21 / 22, 2007
Alexander
Cockburn
Giuliani and the Dogs of War
Werther
How to Read a National Intelligence
Estimate
Ralph
Nader
Atomic Blowback
David
Keen
Buy Hard: How to Sell an Endless War
Fred
Gardner
Karl Rove, Pothead: When Good Drugs Happen to Bad People
Gary
Leupp
Edelman's Edict: Is Hillary "Reinforcing Enemy Propaganda?"
Robert
Fantina
Fear in Iraq
Saker
The Future of Palestine: an Interview with Jonathan Cook
Rannie
Amiri
Nasrallah in the Crosshairs: How will the Third Lebanon War Start?
Mike
Whitney
The Crisis in Hedgistan
Dr.
Susan Rosenthal, MD
The Hidden Injuries of Powerlessness: Linking Alienation and
Dissociation
Monica
Benderman
Facing the Truth
Dan
Bacher
Deltagate: the Politics of Fish Kills
Michael
Baney
Fujimori's Long Race From Justice
Missy
Beattie
Here, There and Everywhere
Ron
Jacobs
Tremble, Tyrants
Adam
Engel
Radical Language: an Introduction
Thomas
Naylor
California Split: an Open Letter to Schwarzenegger
Poets'
Basement
Landau, Ford and Engel
Website
of the Weekend
Surge in Action
July
20, 2007
Eliza
Szabo
Fatal Neglect: Civilian Casualties
in Afghanistan
Pam
Martens
Doctoring the News: CNN's Sanjay Gupta, Laura Bush and Merck
Alan
Farago
Winners and Losers in the Housing Market Crash
Harvey
Wasserman
Lies and Leaks: The Earthquake That Screamed "No Nukes!"
Marjorie
Cohn
Iraqis will be the Deciders
Dave
Zirin
White Noise and the Black Athlete
Anthony
DiMaggio
American Public Opinion and Israel
Scott
Liebertz
Oaxaca on Edge
Linn
Washington, Jr.
British Cops Assault Rape Allegations
Bill
Piper / Anthony Papa
Flying High?: The Political Junkets of Bush's Drug Czar
Ramzy
Baroud
Bush's War Policy: When Time Heals Nothing
Website
of the Day
The Prankster Art of Mark Jenkins
July
19, 2007
Patrick
Cockburn
The Next Invasion of Iraq
Remi
Kanazi
Is This Ben Gurion or Hell?: a Palestinian Adventure Through
Israel's Largest Airport
Winslow
T. Wheeler
The Surging Costs of the Iraq War
Sharon
Smith
Democrats and Health Care: Behind the Rhetoric
Dave
Lindorff
Killing Cabbies in Iraq
Conn
Hallinan
Have Gun, Will Travel: Mercenaries in Iraq and Afghanistan
D.
K. Wilson
The Michael Vick Case Pulls Back the Veil on Who We Really Are
Joshua
Frank
Democrats as Leviathan: Another Step Toward War with Iran
Norman
Solomon
The Ghost of Wayne Morse
Russell
Hoffman
Rattling the Reactor: Quakes, Fires and Leaks at the World's
Largest Nuke
Ray
McGovern
Bush's Wooden Headedness Kills
Website
of the Day
Protesting Power
July
18, 2007
Brenda
Norrell
Spy Towers on the US Border
Col.
Dan Smith
How the US Could "Lose" Saudi
Arabia
Martha
Rosenberg
Lord of Crookharbour: the Trial of Conrad Black
Conn
Hallinan
Bombing and Spraying Afghanistan
Binoy
Kampmark
The SIM Card Terror Case
Patrick
Bond /
Rehana Dada
Who Killed Sajida Khan?
Tom
Johnson
The Long Road ... to Nowhere
Paul
Craig Roberts
A Free Press or a Ministry of Truth?
Bob
Quellos
Pushing the Poor Out of House and Home
Felice
Pace
Falling for Lieberman's Iran Resolution
Robert
Weissman
National Health Insurance: More Humane and More Efficient
CP
Newswire
Shocking Report Showing Involvement of US Psychologists in Torture
Website
of the Day
Gilad Atzmon Live!
July
17, 2007
Patrick
Cockburn
Just Another Day in Iraq: 100 Fathers,
Mothers and Children Killed
Marjorie
Cohn
Out of Control: Executive Power Plays
Evelyn
Pringle
Inside Bush's FDA
David
Rosen
Moral Hypocrisy on the Hill: the Christian Right, Sexual Scandal
and the Pleasures of the Courtesan
Susan
Miller
Width Matters: Displacement and Israel's Wall
Franklin
Lamb
Did the UN Cave to Israel on Lebanon's Shabaa Farms?
Don
Monkerud
Considering Victory in Iraq
Harvey
Wasserman
Nuclear Surge
Russell
Hoffman
Japan Dodges a Radioactive Bullet
Dave
Lindorff
Feingold Turns to Dross
Dave
Zirin
Reclaiming Sports as True Fiction
Website
of the Day
Che at the UN: 1964
July
16, 2007
Gary
Leupp
Cheney Urges Bush to Strike Iran
Ellen
Cantarow
The Untold Story of Iraqi Women
Paul
Craig Roberts
Impeach Now
Allan
J. Lichtman
The D.C. Madam's Public Service
Dan
Bacher
Cheney and the Klamath: Was the Veep Behind the Nation's Worst
Salmon Kill?
Patrick
Cockburn
The Killing of Khalid W. Hassan
Manuel
Garcia, Jr.
Property is Racism
James
Brooks
AIPAC and Mahmoud Abbas: the Undemocratic Road to Defeat
Liaquat
Ali Khan
The Judicial Crisis in Pakistan
Julie
Flint
Suleiman Jamous in Limbo
Website
of the Day
Free Suleiman Jamous!
July
14 / 15. 2007
Alexander
Cockburn
Support Their Troops?
Andy
Worthington
Gitmo's Tangled Web: Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, Majhid Khan, Dubious
US Convictions and a Dying Man
Ralph
Nader
Lawlessness, Waste and Incompetence
Robert
Fantina
The Illegalities of the Iraq War
Ron
Jacobs
Architecture as Military Strategy
Joshua
Frank
Eat, Fight, Screw, Pray: An Interview with Joe Bageant
Conn
Hallinan
Guns, Foundations and Free Trade: How the Right Targets Africa
Dr.
Susan Rosenthal, MD
War and Dissociation
John
Ross
No En Nuestro Nombre!: a Letter to the Mexican Antiwar Movement
Fred
Gardner
Who's Afraid of Cannabidiol?
Rannie
Amiri
A Primer on Israeli Doublespeak
Charles
Modiano
ESPN's Rap Sheet: Pacman as Black Man
Anthony
DiMaggio
America's Parochial Press
China
Hand
Executive Orders and Coercive Diplomacy
Missy
Comley Beattie
Reprobate Rhetoricians
Dr.
James J. Murtagh, Jr.
Harry Potter Battles Big Brother
Kenneth
Rexroth
On Thomas More's "Utopia"
Poets'
Basement
Engel, Davies and Orloski
Website
of the Weekend
GOP Sex Hypocrites: a Slideshow
| Weekend
Edition
August 4 / 5, 2007
The Candidates and the Collapsing
Economy
Mis-Pricing
the Risk
By ALAN
FARAGO
In
the summer of 2000, I looked out this same window in a small house
on an island in Maine and, watching the tide emptying and filling
the cove, contemplated what it would take for Gore to win the 2000
election.
I
had a lot of company in despairing that advisors had prevailed in
persuading candidate Gore to stifle the environment as a campaign
issue.
At
the time, I was spearheading a campaign to stop the Clinton administration
from allowing political insiders and powerful campaign contributors
in Florida’s largest county, Miami-Dade, from hijacking a
former military base at the edge of the Everglades and turning it
into a privatized, commercial airport.
Voters
were upset enough how Clinton and Gore both were avoiding the environment
that the beneficiary in the November 2000 election would be Ralph
Nader—as indeed he was in Florida.
To
be fair, Gore advisors had a rationale for believing that “the
environment’ was on balance negative. The air base fiasco
was far from the only mistake made in that respect.
But
the lesson is this: insiders, cocooned in political campaigns and
preoccupied with the challenge of raising campaign cash from an
economic elite, tend to mis-price specific risks that touch ordinary
people and ordinary voters.
In
this respect, Florida is again instructive to candidates who may
be the next president of the United States.
Bloomberg
reported (July 20,2007) on the weird manifestation of the housing
boom and bust as dozens of construction cranes in Miami edge skyscraper
condominiums toward foreclosure. “The oversupply will force
prices down as much as 30 percent, the worst decline since the 1970s,
and help push Florida's economy into recession as early as October,
said Mark Zandi, chief economist at West Chester, Pennsylvania-based
Moody's Economy.com, who owns a home in Vero Beach, Florida.”
Forget about October: the Florida economy is in a recession today.
“Thirty-seven
new high-rise condos and 20,000 new units are being built in Miami's
1,040-acre downtown, where sales fell almost 50 percent in May,
according to the Florida Association of Realtors. The new units
will join the 22,924 existing condos in Miami-Dade County that were
for sale in April, according to Jack McCabe, chief executive officer
of McCabe Research & Consulting LLC in Deerfield Beach, Florida.”
Government
statisticians roll out serial reasons for optimism in the broader
economy: employment remains strong, unemployment at 4.5%, and consumer
confidence is said to be high.
But
I’m on the side of the recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll
conducted July 27-30 showing that the nation’s economic mood
is gloomy.
In
coastal Maine you can feel it big time. “More than two-thirds
of Americans believe the U.S. economy is either in recession now
or will be in the next year.”
Florida
is the epicenter of the housing bust in the United States, for the
political connections between Jeb Bush’s election in 1998,
W’s in 2000, and a cast of characters tied to the biggest
speculative bubble in housing in Florida history.
Al
Hoffman, the former chair of Florida-based WCI Communities crowed
in 2003 to the Washington Post that development in Florida was “an
unstoppable force”.
Indeed,
during the housing boom local county commissions and the Florida
legislature spent entire sessions making it harder and harder for
citizens to intervene in protecting their water quality, their communities
from bad development, and even from petitioning their own government.
Hoffman
was campaign finance chair for Jeb Bush in 1998 and 2002 and national
co-chairman for President Bush in 2000.
Today Florida’s
housing markets are in tatters. The state budget is nearly $1.5
billion in the hole, as receipts from real estate transactions dry
up.
WCI
Communities’ stock price has plummeted. The company retained
Goldman Sachs to explore options for the sale of its business or
assets and can’t find a buyer.
The
reason WCI Communities can’t find a buyer is that company
decision-makers price its value at the other side of the economic
chasm into which the fortunes of publicly traded homebuilders are
falling.
So
far, the presidential candidates are ignoring the distress, as if
to avoid taking the hit when you are forced to mark an asset to
the market and not some conjured value.
This
is exactly the discussion that is ricocheting around Wall Street
today and hundreds of billions of dollars of financial derivatives
whose value is up in the air.
With
each passing day and report of condo busts in Miami and production
homebuilders leaning into the stiffest headwind in modern history,
it is becoming clearer and—and with as much certainty as the
tide moving in and out of Long Cove—that the defining issue
in the 2008 campaign will be the unfolding maelstrom in housing
markets across the nation.
David
Leonhardt, in the New York Times “Keep your eyes on adjustable-rate
mortgages” (August 1, 2007) dryly noted, “… the
carnage in the mortgage market thus far has come even before the
bulk of mortgages have reset.”
President
Bush called it “the ownership society”. You don’t
much about that anymore. Nor did you hear much about the recent
visit to China by HUD Secretary Alfphonso Jackson who was rebuffed
in his effort to persuade the Chinese to buy more US mortgage debt.
In early July, Jackson told the Chinese, according to Bloomberg:
"Mortgage securities offer China's central bank better returns
than U.S. Treasury bonds at the same level of credit risk."
Is that so?
“The
peak month for resetting of mortgages will come this October, according
to Credit Suisse, when more than $50 billion in mortgages will switch
to a new rate for the first time. The level will remain above $30
billion a month through September 2008. In all, the interest rates
on about $1 trillion worth of mortgages, or 12 percent of the nation’s
total will reset for the first time this year or next. A couple
of years ago, by comparison, only a marginal amount of mortgage
debt—a few billion dollars—was resetting each month.”
The
odds of containing the financial contagion in mortgage markets to
a few hedge funds or just the matter of financial derivatives tied
to housing and not the massive markets in corporate debt before
November 2008 are low.
Wall Street and the current administration are applying tremendous
pressure to keep traders from marking risk to market. It has been
a Herculean effort and the sweat is showing.
The
economic tide is now running as inevitably against Wall Street as
it does here on Long Cove: on one side, millions of homeowners at
or beyond the point of distress as they struggle to meet the costs
of maintaining high mortgages in falling property markets, and,
on the other side, holders of petrodollars and the beneficiaries
of America’s trade imbalances who are disinclined to make
bad investments, or, to be scammed.
Ordinary
people and most voters aren’t up to the challenge of understanding
the risks in financial derivatives. But the signals are everywhere.
The
candidate who can tap into the frustration around collapsing home
markets and the proliferation of unsustainable risk to the economy
will be the next President of the United States.
Alan
Farago writes about the environment and politics. He can
be reached at alanfarago@yahoo.com.
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