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Other Lands
Have Dreams:
From
Baghdad to Pekin Prison
by KATHY KELLY
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Today's Stories
August 6-8, 2005
Alexander
Cockburn
How the British Destroyed India
Jason
Leopold
Halliburton and Iran: Still Doing
Business After All These Years?
August
5, 2005
Bill Christison
New NIE Report on Iran's Nukes
will Not Deter US's Posture of Extreme Aggressiveness
Paul
Craig Roberts
Kelo: a Supreme Assault on Personal
Liberty
Alexander
Cockburn
The Taj Mahal as Kitsch; the Editor
and the Water-Walking Guru
August
4, 2005
Tom Barry
Inside Bush's "World Democracy
Movement"
Lila
Rajiva
John Bolton's New Internationalism
Greg
Moses
Bush Teaches Intelligent Design in
Prison
Alexander
Cockburn
Indian Journal: Why Indian Farmers
Kill Themselves
August
3, 2005
Alexander
Cockburn
Broken Arrows and Iran: a B-52 Pilot
Remembers
Paul
Craig Roberts
The Kelo Calamity: Money, Power and
Eminent Domaine
William
A. Cook
Innocent Victims: From Hiroshima to Lower Manhattan
Dave
Zirin
Bush's Texas Rangers: a Crackhouse for Juiced Players?
Dave
Lindorff
Court Packing and Worker Rights
José
Pertierra
Why Hamdi Isaac Yes and Posada
Carriles No?
August
2, 2005
Ramzi
Kysia
Disengagement and Diaspora: High Walls
and Razor Wire in the Hebron
William
A. Cook
Words Without Meaning: Torturing Bodies
and Language
Paul
Craig Roberts
When Armageddon Gets No Press
Mike
Whitney
Chertoff's Preemptive Crackdown: 600 Arrests, Only 76 Charged
Ron
Jacobs
Be a Hero: Demand That Johnny Come
Home
Norman
Madarsz
Before the Stun Gun: Jean Charles de Menezes, RIP
Tim
Wise
The Faulty Logic of "Terrorist"
Profiling

August
1, 2005
Virginia
Rodino
Why Bono and Geldof Got It Wrong:
War and Global Poverty are Linked
Diana
Barahona
Return to Venezuela: Land Reform
and Neighborhood Doctors
Joshua
Frank
Gitmo's Kangaroo Courts: First Torture Them, Then Rig Their Trials
Mike
Whitney
The Consolidation of Powers: Rubber Stamp Roberts
Norm
Dixon
The Worst Terror Attacks in History
Norman
Solomon
Operation Withdrawal Scam
James
Petras
The Corruption of Lula's Regime

July
30 / 31, 2005
Alexander
Cockburn
Lost Nuclear Warheads Now in Iran?
JoAnn
Wypijewski
Scenes and Silver Linings from Labor's
Crack-Up: a Special Report from Chicago
Sheldon
Rampton
War is Fun as Hell: the Video Games
Recruiters Play
Jack
Z. Bratich
Fingerprints of Power: a Summer of Double Super Secrecy
Greg
Moses
How to Cool Your Heels in Texas When It's Late July Across the
World
Jordan
Green
From Woolworth to Wal-Mart: Economics and the Race Divide in
a Southern City
Patrick
Cockburn
Getting Out of Iraq: 5,000 US Troops Have Gone AWOL
Brian
Cloughley
The Bush-Cheney Fixation on Iran
Justin
Taylor
Harry Potter and the War on Terror
Saul
Landau
Enhancements for the Imperial Life: Fashionism Takes Command!
John
Walsh
Dems Field Another Pro-War Candidate: Meet Hack the Hawk
Joshua
Frank
Color-Coded Justice: John Roberts's Racial Hang Up
Ron
Jacobs
Who Needs Feminism? We Have Condi Rice!
Fred
Gardner
The Ethan and Gavin Show
John
Chuckman
Friedman on Terrorism: the Dumbest Story Ever Written
Liaquat
Ali Khan
Lessons City Bombers Need to Learn from Newton and Donne
Remi
Kanazi
Annexing Justice in Palestine
Naveen
Jaganathan
The Gurgaon Riots Rock India
Richard
Heinberg
Where is the Hirsch Peak Oil Report?
Max
Watts
Francis Ona, the Napoleon of Mekamui
Ben
Tripp
Write Your Own Editorial!
Poets'
Basement
Whalen & Engel, Landau, Albert and Krieger

July
29, 2005
Cockburn
/ St. Clair
Who's the Real Martyr? Judy Miller or Jim DeFede?
P.
Sainath
The Class War in Gurgaon
Niranjan
Ramakrishnan
How the West Was Lost: CAFTA
and the Disassembling of America
Dave
Lindorff
Marvelous Marvin Bush
J.L.
Chestnut, Jr.
America's Racist Inventory: Oppression
Breeds Violence
Pat
Williams
Giving Away the Last Best Place
Norman
Solomon
In Praise of Kevin Benderman: a Moral
Leader of the Nation Goes to Prison
Sen.
Russ Feingold
The Bad News About the Energy Bill

July
28, 2005
Paul
Craig Roberts
Departing Iraq
William
S. Lind
The Duke of Alba and George W. Bush
Gilad
Atzmon
Blair the Camera Man
Joshua
Frank
Passing CAFTA: Blame the Democrats
Lila
Rajiva
Vision Mumbai Submerged
Amina
Mire
Pigmentation and Empire: the Emerging
Skin-Whitening Industry
Website
of the Day
Gateway to Underground News
July
27, 2005
Roger
Morris
The Source Beyond Rove: Condoleezza
Rice at the Center of the Plame Scandal
Gary
Leupp
Is Iran Being Set Up?
Paul
Craig Roberts
US Falling Behind Across the Board
Jackie
Corr
Class War on the Ruby River: the Billionaire with His Foot in
His Mouth
Mike
Whitney
The Coming End of the Housing Bubble
Dave
Zirin
Why Lance Armstrong Must Break with Bush
Christopher
Bradley
Why I Have Trouble Reading the News
Norman
Solomon
Thomas Friedman, Liberal Sadist?
Website
of the Day
Stormin' Norman
July
26, 2005
Suren
Pillay
The Enemy Within: When the "Other"
is One of "Us"
JoAnn
Wypijewski
Fission and Fizzle in Chicago: SEIU and
Teamsters Quit the AFL
Patrick
Cockburn
Iraq: the Unwinnable War
David
Anderson
When the Greatest Outrage is the Lack of Outrage: NYC's Subway
Searches
Joshua
Frank
Hillary Clinton: Outflanking Bush from the Right
Lenni
Brenner
Biography as Wish-Fulfillment: Jefferson, Hitchens and Atheism
David
Swanson
Nuking Native Land
Nuking Native Land
|
Weekend
Edition
August 6 - 8, 2005
Iran,
Truth Tellers & the Devotees of Preemption
Timely Disclosures
Can Prevent Wars
By RAY McGOVERN
Recent
attempts by Vice President Dick Cheney and his “neo-conservative”
allies to conjure up a nuclear threat from Iran as "justification"
for military action have been exposed as a charade by timely leaks
to the Washington Post. In a redux of President George W. Bush's
spin on the "grave and gathering" danger from Iraq,
Cheney protégé and newly appointed U.N. Ambassador
John Bolton is on record warning that Iranian "deception"
must not be allowed to continue much longer: "It will be
too late. Iran will have nuclear weapons."
But
not for ten more years, according to sources close to the U.S.
intelligence community who are quoted in Tuesday’s lead
story in the Post. Several government officials with access to
the most recent National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran have
told journalist Dafna Linzer of its main judgments. In doing so,
Linzer's sources seem determined not to sit idly by as our country
is misled once again into a war favored only by "neo-conservatives"
in Washington and their counterparts in the far-right Likud government
in Israel, who have a shared vision of remaking the map of the
Middle East.
Linzer
has shown commendable tenacity on Iran and the nuclear issue—tenacity
highly unusual by today's lax media standards. According to Linzer's
sources, the National Intelligence Estimate states that, while
there are credible signs that the Iranian military is doing some
clandestine work, there is no information to connect that work
directly to a nuclear weapons program. Moreover, U.N. inspectors
have found no convincing proof that Iran is conducting a nuclear
weapons program or that it has a nuclear warhead design.
The
NIE concludes that Iran will not be able to produce enough highly
enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon until "early to mid-next
decade." Linzer’s sources put the timeline closer to
2015.
Devotees
of Preemption
The
exposure of these intelligence judgments is extremely well timed.
It comes amid rumors that Vice President Cheney (yes, Vice President
Cheney) has ordered up contingency plans for a large-scale air
assault on Iran using not only conventional weapons but also tactical
nuclear weapons to take out hardened underground nuclear facilities.
The action would be framed as a response to a terrorist act—whether
sponsored by Iran or not—on the United States. According
to former CIA operative Philip Giraldi, senior Air Force officers
involved in the planning are appalled that Iran is being set up
for an unprovoked attack but, sadly, no one wants to jeopardize
a career by posing objections.
Sound
familiar? Shades of the obeisance so prevalent among the martinet
generals whom Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has promoted,
or called out of retirement. These salute smartly and blindly
follow the diktat of civilian officials with no military experience.
Small wonder that Republican Senator Chuck Hagel, with two Purple
Hearts and the Bronze Star from his service in Vietnam, has complained
openly that they are “disconnected from reality...and just
making it up as they go along.” And, in the worst of military
traditions, the generals do go along to get along. Shades, also,
of Vietnam.
Cheney once again has been leading the public charge, just as
he did in 2002 in the lead up to invading Iraq. On the morning
of Inauguration Day 2005 on MSNBC's Imus in the Morning, Cheney
warned that Iran has "a fairly robust new nuclear program."
And, he added, it sponsors terrorism. Sound familiar?
The
vice president added that Iran's "objective is the destruction
of Israel." Imus then brought up the possibility of preempting
Iran, asking, "Why don't we make Israel do it?" Cheney
responded:
Well,
one of the concerns people have is that Israel might do it without
being asked, that if, in fact, the Israelis became convinced the
Iranians had significant capability, the Israelis might well decide
to act first, and let the rest of the world worry about cleaning
up the diplomatic mess afterwards.
Four
weeks later President Bush elaborated on Cheney's remarkably nonchalant
remark:
Clearly,
if I was the leader of Israel and I'd listened to some of the
statements by the Iranian ayatollahs that regarded the security
of my country, I'd be concerned about Iran having a nuclear weapon
as well. And, in that Israel is our ally (sic)—and in that
we've made a very strong commitment to support Israel—we
will support Israel if her security is threatened.
This
all fits in with Cheney's undisguised personal view of the time
Israel did 'take out' a fledgling nuclear weapons program of a
hostile neighbor. Despite the official position of the United
States (and the unanimous U.N. Security Council vote) condemning
the Israeli preemptive attack on Iraq's nuclear reactor at Osirak
in 1981, Cheney saw fit to refer to the Israel attack approvingly
in his speech on Iraq on August 26, 2002—the keynote speech
for the PR campaign for war on Iraq. Earlier, as defense secretary
in 1991, Cheney reportedly gave Israeli Maj. Gen. David Ivri,
then the commander of the Israeli Air Force, a satellite photo
of the Iraqi nuclear reactor destroyed by U.S.-built Israeli aircraft.
On the photo Cheney penned, "Thanks for the outstanding job
on the Iraqi nuclear program in 1981."
Cherry-Picking
Intelligence
Will
this new, apparently reality-based NIE on Iran influence the actions
of the White House? Linzer points out that a number of less ambitious
papers on Iran, ordered up during Bush's first term "were
rejected by advocates of policies that were inconsistent with
the intelligence judgments." In 2002, then-deputy national
security adviser Stephen Hadley commissioned one such paper on
the possibility of "regime change" in Iran. The paper
concluded that Iran seemed to be on a slow march to democracy,
cautioned against U.S. interference in the process, and thus became
material fit only for the shredder.
Bush
is more likely to take his "intelligence" from Israeli
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who, according to George H. W. Bush's
national security adviser, Gen. Brent Scowcroft, has our current
president "wrapped around his little finger." (For harboring
such thoughts, Scowcroft was unceremoniously removed from his
key position as chair of the President’s Foreign Intelligence
Advisory Board early this year.)
It
went little noticed that during Sharon’s visit to Crawford
last April, he had his senior military aide, Gen. Yoav Galant,
present satellite photos and other Israeli intelligence on Iran's
nuclear weapons program, showing it to be at a "very advanced"
stage. American officials told reporters at the time that Sharon
and Galant had laid out “the worst case scenario.”
In July 2003, Sharon and Galant gave a similar performance in
the oval office, reportedly showering Bush with data from a thick
dossier on Iran's covert program.
Two
unorthodox suggestions:
•
Let the White House invite Iranian officials to present Iran’s
dossier on Israeli nuclear weapons estimated to number around
200—not ten years away, but already deployed. (Would it
not be wise to give the president a balanced picture? Has there
been no recent NIE on Israel’s weapons of mass destruction?
If so, could the principal judgments be make public?)
•
Ask John Bolton to explain to his new colleagues at the U.N.
why it is that Washington is allergic to the possibility of
Iranian nuclear weapons ten years hence, while it views with
equanimity those already stockpiled in, say, Pakistan and India,
nations which—like Israel—have refused to sign the
Non-Proliferation Treaty. Iran, in contrast, is party to the
treaty; hence the regular U.N. inspections there.
Why
is the outrage of the Bush administration so selective? A clue
to the bill of goods that has been sold to the president himself
is found in own remarks on those rare occasions on which he answers
questions from the press, as he did on February 17:
Question:
“What’s your level of concern that, if Iran does go
down the road to building a nuclear weapon, that Israel will attack
Iran to try to prevent that from happening?”
Answer:
“Well, of course the — well, first of all, Iran has
made it clear they — they don’t like Israel, to put
it bluntly. And the Israelis are concerned about whether or not
Iran develops a nuclear weapon, as are we, as should everybody.”
Will
the Press, Congress Wake Up?
No
one should expect the White House to do anything but obfuscate
the conclusions of the latest NIE on Iran. Already, administration
officials have told the press that they remain certain of Iran’s
nuclear intentions and the need to confront Iran urgently. Much
will depend on whether our cowardly mainstream press and cowed
Congress can awake from their stupor to do their job. It was highly
edifying to learn in today’s New York Times that House committee
chair Tom Davis (R-VA) is hot on the trail of baseball star Rafael
Palmeiro on the suspicion he misled Congress on using steroids.
Is no committee chair in Congress interested in looking into whether
the White House misled us into war with Iraq—and may be
preparing a redux vis-à-vis Iran?
As
has been abundantly clear in the case of Iraq, Vice President
Cheney feels no threat from the Republican-led Congress. Nor,
as we have seen, does he feel at all bound by U.S. intelligence,
unless he can put in enough appearances at CIA headquarters to
slant the intelligence in the desired direction. This time he
is likely to dismiss the new NIE on Iran, exaggerating—as
he is fond of doing—the less-than-stellar performance of
earlier U.S. estimates regarding how far along the Iraqi nuclear
program was before the Gulf War in 1991.
And
then there is John Bolton who makes no bones about his devotion
to a faith-based approach to intelligence and to a prerogative
to override intelligence professionals at will. During his confirmation
hearings, amid countless credible charges that he had politicized
intelligence, he had the chutzpah to write to the committee that
he reserves the right to "state his own reading of the intelligence."
No matter if he persuades no one on the urgency of the threat
from Iran. Even though British Prime Minister Tony Blair will
resist going along with an attack on Iraq, the US will not be
alone. There is always Israel...and Fiji.
Is
There Hope?
Well,
yes. Think of it:
•
Finally, a National Intelligence Estimate not cooked to high
policy;
•
Patriotic truth tellers unwilling to remain silent while another
unprovoked war is brewing;
•
Gutsy reporters like Dafna Linzer in the mold of Watergate’s
Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward (before he donned a tie and
became Bush’s court historian); and
•
A Washington Post editor who put Linzer’s piece where
it deserved to be—as lead article. (Let’s hope it
wasn’t just a case of summer substitute help.)
A
Leak in Time...
You
readers out there in the intelligence and policy communities may
wish to take those who told Linzer about the NIE as your model.
IF, (and, admittedly, it is a big IF) the press and Congress do
wake up, this latest disclosure will make it more difficult for
the Bush White House and/or Israel to launch war on Iran. And
this is because the disclosures of the NIE judgments came early
enough.
Think
of the now-public minutes of Tony Blair’s briefing at Downing
Street on July 23, 2002. Or, closer to home, the insights in the
books of Paul O’Neil and Richard Clarke. These exposed the
multiple deceits “justifying” the march of folly into
Iraq, and even showed the real reasons behind the war. But too
late to stop it.
I
do not share the cynical view that O’Neil and Clarke bowed
to their publishers’ wishes that they wait to speak out
until their books were ready. Pentagon Papers revealer Dan Ellsberg
has lamented the fact that, had he gone public in 1963 with what
he knew, the Vietnam War might have been nipped in the bud. Asked
why he did not make his move earlier, Ellsberg says it simply
never occurred to him. I believe that was probably the case with
O’Neil and Clarke as well.
Between
multiple sources in London and in Washington finally willing to
see it as their patriotic duty to speak out to prevent war, we
have a new, very hopeful truth-driven process in train less than
a year after the Truth Telling Coalition gave it fresh impetus.
And
if the disclosures on Iran put a steel rod in the wheels of the
juggernaut rolling toward war against Iran, that would be preemption
of what would certainly have been a disaster even worse than Iraq.
Reminder
to Patriotic Truth Tellers: Timing makes all the difference.
Ray McGovern works for Tell the Word, the publishing
arm of the ecumenical Church of the Saviour in Washington, DC.
During his 27-year career as a CIA analyst, he chaired National
Intelligence Estimates and prepared/briefed the President's Daily
Brief. He is co-founder of Veteran Intelligence Professionals
for Sanity.
A
shorter version of this article appeared first on TomPaine.com.
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